Frigo Gida is operating in processed food and vegetables sector. 93% of the sales are exports, while 80% of production costs are incurred in TRY. Frigo produces on orders and does not carry a major inventory book. The Company is the primary producer of canned citrus products.
The company produces fruit juices, carbonated and still drinks as well as canned and frozen fruits and vegetables. The core competency of the company is tangerine and other citrus products.
We like the company for its robust revenue growth, expanding margins, net cash position, hard currency pricing vs TRY costs and low demand elasticity that creates a hedge against inflation.
As of 9M22, 92% of gross sales are exports to developed markets. This stable hard currency revenue stream not only provides a buffer against any adverse effects from the domestic macroeconomic scenario but also provides a natural hedge against already very limited gross FX debt.
We issue a BUY recommendation for FRIGO with a target price of TRY18.37/share derived solely through our DCF model, representing a 134% upside potential. Currently FRIGO is trading at 44% discount to peers at 9M22 EV/EBITDA. The 2023E EV/EBITDA of the company stands at a mere 3.8x.
TFG Istanbul Menkul Değerler A.Ş.
www.tfgistanbul.com/arastirma-raporlar
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